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010622 FUTURES TRADEPLAN & QUICKSHEET

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REVIEW & TRADEPLAN:

A large break from balance in ES, NQ, & RTY.  All products are either tagging or within short range of their December VPOCs.  Implied volatility increased across the board, so expect more wide ranges.

Expecting the auctions to take a breath on Thursday and put in wide rotations.  However, this is likely not the bottom yet from this “move.” 

VIX Curve:  “Normal Curve” / The complacency of the VIX curve showed the risk and despite the selling today and some contraction in the curve, we are nowhere near over-priced in risk protection.  This means the downside remains open.  

  • NEAR CURVE VIX9D-VIX: -1.66 (-4+ is complacent, >1 is fearful)
  • LONG CURVE VIX9D-VIX1Y: –10.17 (-13+ is complacent, >0 is fearful)

Catalysts: Initial Jobless Claims at 8:30AM EST

Keep the Opening Ranges of the year in view!

  • Crude OR: 74.70
  • ES OR: 4773
  • NQ OR: 16383
  • RTY OR: 2254
VIEW TRADEPLANS FOR ES, NQ, RTY, CL

IDEAS from the QUICKSHEET:

  • Soybean Oil: In extreme.  Looking for triggers to be short for 56.52
  • British Pount: In extreme.  Looking for triggers to target 1.3529
  • GOLD: Goldie is back to balance after testing higher.  This means 1790 is on the table if we can hold below 1814
VIEW THE QUICKSHEET
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